The joint effect of long-term exposure to multiple air pollutants on non-accidental and cause-specific mortality: A longitudinal cohort study.

The long-term joint impacts of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3) on mortality are inconclusive. To bridge this research gap, we included 283,568 adults from the Taiwan MJ cohort between 2005 and 2016 and linked with the mortality data until 31 May 2019. Participants' annual average exposures to PM2.5, NO2, and O3 were estimated using satellite-based spatial-temporal models. We applied elastic net-regularised Cox models to construct a weighted environmental risk score (WERS) for the joint effects of three pollutants on non-accidental, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality and evaluated the contribution of each pollutant. The three pollutants jointly raised non-accidental mortality risk with a WERS hazard ratio (HR) of 1.186 (95% CI: 1.118-1.259) per standard deviation increase in each pollutant and weights of 72.8%, 15.2%, and 12.0% for PM2.5, NO2, and O3, respectively. The WERS increased cardiovascular death risk [HR: 1.248 (1.042-1.496)], with PM2.5 as the first contributor and O3 as the second. The WERS also elevated the cancer death risk [HR: 1.173 (1.083-1.270)], where PM2.5 played the dominant role and NO2 ranked second. Coordinated control of these three pollutants can optimise the health benefits of air quality improvements.

Outdoor light at night and mortality in the UK Biobank: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: More than 83% of the world's population lives under light-polluted skies while information about health effects of outdoor light at night (LAN) is limited. We examined the association of LAN with natural cause (NC) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality using the UK Biobank. METHODS: We included 273 335 participants recruited between 2006 and 2010. Level of LAN was estimated at each participant's address using time-varying satellite data for a composite of persistent night-time illumination at ~1 km2 scale. Information on causes of death until 12 November 2021 was obtained through record linkage. Cox proportional hazards regression was used. RESULTS: In the follow-up with an average of 12.4 years, 14 864 NC and 3100 CVD deaths were identified. Compared with the participants exposed to the first quartile of LAN, participants exposed to the highest quartile showed an 8% higher risk of NC mortality (HR: 1.08, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.13) after adjusting for age, sex, social-economic status, shift work, lifestyle factors and body mass index. However, the association disappeared after further adjustment for PM2.5 and evening noise, with HRs (95% CIs) of 1.02 (0.97 to 1.07), 1.01 (0.97 to 1.06) and 1.03 (0.97 to 1.08), respectively, for the participants exposed to the second, third and fourth quartiles of LAN. No significant associations were observed between LAN and CVD mortality, either. CONCLUSIONS: We did not observe significant associations of LAN with NC and CVD mortality in this large nationwide cohort. The health effects of LAN remain unclear. Further studies are warranted to address this public health concern.

Chronic exposure to ambient PM2.5/NO2 and respiratory health in school children: A prospective cohort study in Hong Kong.

Despite increasing concerns about the detrimental effects of air pollution on respiratory health, limited evidence is available on these effects in the Hong Kong population, especially in children. In this prospective cohort study between 2012 and 2017, we aimed to investigate the associations between exposure to air pollution (concentrations of fine particulate matter [PM2.5] and nitrogen dioxide [NO2]) and respiratory health (lung function parameters and respiratory diseases and symptoms) in schoolchildren. We recruited 5612 schoolchildren aged 6-16 years in Hong Kong. We estimated the annual average concentrations of ambient PM2.5 and NO2 at each participant's address using spatiotemporal models. We conducted spirometry tests on all participants to measure their lung function parameters and used a self-administered questionnaire to collect information on their respiratory diseases and symptoms and a wide range of covariates. Linear mixed models were used to investigate the associations between exposure to air pollution and lung function. Mixed-effects logistic regression models with random effects were used to investigate the associations of exposure to air pollution with respiratory diseases and symptoms. In all of the participants, every 5-µg/m3 increase in the ambient PM2.5 concentration was associated with changes of - 13.90 ml (95 % confidence interval [CI]: -23.65 ml, -4.10 ml), - 4.20 ml (-15.60 ml, 7.15 ml), 27.20 ml/s (-3.95 ml/s, 58.35 ml/s), and - 19.80 ml/s (-38.35 ml/s, -1.25 ml/s) in forced expiratory volume in 1 s, forced vital capacity, peak expiratory flow, and maximal mid-expiratory flow, respectively. The corresponding lung function estimates for every 5-µg/m3 increase in the ambient NO2 concentration were - 2.70 ml (-6.05 ml, 0.60 ml), - 1.40 ml (-5.40 ml, 2.60 ml), - 6.60 ml/s (-19.75 ml/s, 6.55 ml/s), and - 3.05 ml/s (-11.10 ml/s, 5.00 ml/s), respectively. We did not observe significant associations between PM2.5/NO2 exposure and most respiratory diseases and symptoms. Stratified analyses by sex and age showed that the associations between exposure to air pollution and lung function parameters were stronger in male participants and older participants (11-14 year old group) than in female participants and younger participants (6-10 year old group), respectively. Our results suggest that chronic exposure to air pollution is detrimental to the respiratory health of schoolchildren, especially that of older boys. Our findings reinforce the importance of air pollution mitigation to protect schoolchildren's respiratory health.

Seroepidemiology of enterovirus A71 infection in prospective cohort studies of children in southern China, 2013-2018.

Enterovirus A71 (EV-A71)-related hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) imposes a substantial clinical burden in the Asia Pacific region. To inform policy on the introduction of the EV-A71 vaccine into the National Immunization Programme, we investigated the seroepidemiological characteristics of EV-A71 in two prospective cohorts of children in southern China conducted between 2013 and 2018. Our results show that maternal antibody titres declined rapidly in neonates, with over half becoming susceptible to EV-A71 at 1 month of age. Between 6 months and 2 years of age, over 80% of study participants were susceptible, while one third remained susceptible at 5 years old. The highest incidence of EV-A71 infections was observed in children aged 5-6 months. Our findings support EV-A71 vaccination before 6 months for birth cohorts in southern China, potentially with a one-time catch-up vaccination for children 6 months-5 years old. More regionally representative longitudinal seroepidemiological studies are needed to further validate these findings.

Multi-pollutant air pollution and renal health in Asian children and adolescents: An 18-year longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have examined the effects of multi-pollutant air pollution on renal health, especially in children and adolescents. This study investigated the association between long-term ambient air pollution exposure and renal health in Asian children and adolescents. METHODS: This study included 10,942 children and adolescents from Taiwan and Hong Kong between 2000 and 2017. PM2.5, NO2 and O3 concentrations were estimated using satellite-based spatiotemporal regression models. Two-year average concentrations, those of the year of visit and the preceding year, were used. Linear mixed models were used to examine the association between air pollution and yearly changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Cox regression models with time-dependent covariates were used to examine the association between air pollution and the development of chronic kidney disease (CKD). RESULTS: Median age of the participants was 19 years (range: 2-25). The overall average concentration of PM2.5, NO2 and O3 was 26.7 µg/m3, 44.1 µg/m3 and 51.1 µg/m3, respectively. The mean yearly change in eGFR was 0.37 µL/min/1.73 m2 and the incidence rate of CKD was 6.8 per 1,000 person-years. In single-pollutant models, each 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with a 0.45 µL/min/1.73 m2 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.28-0.63] reduction in the yearly increase in eGFR and 53% [hazard ratio (HR): 1.53 (95%CI: 1.07-2.2)] greater risk of incident CKD. Each 10 µg/m3 increase in NO2 was associated with a 7% [HR (95%CI): 1.07 (1.00-1.15)] higher risk of incident CKD, while an equivalent increase in O3 was associated with a 19% [HR (95%CI): 0.81 (0.67-0.98)] lower risk. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term exposure to ambient PM2.5 and NO2 was associated with a slower growth of eGFR and a higher risk of incident CKD in children and adolescents. Our findings suggest that air pollution control in early life is imperative to improve lifelong renal health and alleviate the CKD burden.

When high PAPR reduction meets CNN: A PRD framework.

One of the most important factors limiting the performance of OFDM (Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing) system is high PAPR (Peak to Average Power Ratio). Great efforts have been made in suppressing PAPR, but their implementation often requires pre-processing all input signals, leading to excessive calculation overhead. When the transmission speed is high, much more time will be taken to process the input signal with the traditional methods, which will reduce the performance of the system. In this background, this paper firstly presents an algorithm, called PRD, to identify the high PAPR sequence without IFFT (Inverse Fast Fourier Transform) operations, in which a CNN (Convolutional Neural Network) for identifying PAPR sequences is trained first before applying further PAPR reduction schemes. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm can identify the high PAPR sequences with 92.3% accuracy and reduce PAPR with extremely low calculations.

Case Fatality Risk of the First Pandemic Wave of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China.

BACKGROUND: To assess the case fatality risk (CFR) of COVID-19 in mainland China, stratified by region and clinical category, and estimate key time-to-event intervals. METHODS: We collected individual information and aggregated data on COVID-19 cases from publicly available official sources from 29 December 2019 to 17 April 2020. We accounted for right-censoring to estimate the CFR and explored the risk factors for mortality. We fitted Weibull, gamma, and log-normal distributions to time-to-event data using maximum-likelihood estimation. RESULTS: We analyzed 82 719 laboratory-confirmed cases reported in mainland China, including 4632 deaths and 77 029 discharges. The estimated CFR was 5.65% (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.50-5.81%) nationally, with the highest estimate in Wuhan (7.71%) and lowest in provinces outside Hubei (0.86%). The fatality risk among critical patients was 3.6 times that of all patients and 0.8-10.3-fold higher than that of mild-to-severe patients. Older age (odds ratio [OR], 1.14 per year; 95% CI, 1.11-1.16) and being male (OR, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.10-3.04) were risk factors for mortality. The times from symptom onset to first healthcare consultation, to laboratory confirmation, and to hospitalization were consistently longer for deceased patients than for those who recovered. CONCLUSIONS: Our CFR estimates based on laboratory-confirmed cases ascertained in mainland China suggest that COVID-19 is more severe than the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic in hospitalized patients, particularly in Wuhan. Our study provides a comprehensive picture of the severity of the first wave of the pandemic in China. Our estimates can help inform models and the global response to COVID-19.

The transfer and decay of maternal antibodies against enterovirus A71, and dynamics of antibodies due to later natural infections in Chinese infants: a longitudinal, paired mother-neonate cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Since 1997, epidemics of hand, foot, and mouth disease associated with enterovirus A71 (EV-A71) have affected children younger than 5 years in the Asia-Pacific region, including mainland China. EV-A71 vaccines have been licensed for use in children aged 6-71 months in China, but not for infants younger than 6 months. We aimed to assess the dynamics of maternal EV-A71 antibodies to inform choice of potential vaccination strategies to protect infants younger than 6 months, because they have a substantial burden of disease. METHODS: We did a longitudinal cohort study with mother-neonate pairs in local hospitals in southern China during 2013-18. We collected cord blood from neonates and venous blood from mothers at delivery. We followed up and collected blood samples from the children at ages 2, 4, 6, 12, 24, and 36 months and tested for the presence of neutralising antibodies against EV-A71 with virus neutralisation assays. Seropositivity, or protective titre, was defined as a neutralisation antibody titre of 16 or higher. We estimated the seroprevalence, geometric mean titre (GMT), and transfer ratio of maternal antibodies. We used a binomial distribution to derive the 95% CIs of seroprevalence. Seropositivity between mothers and neonates was compared by use of an agreement (κ), while GMTs were compared by use of paired Student's t tests. FINDINGS: Between Sept 20, 2013, and Oct 14, 2015, 1054 mothers with 1066 neonates were enrolled. The EV-A71 GMT was similar among pairs of neonates (22·7, 95% CI 20·8-24·9) and mothers (22·1, 95% CI 20·2-24·1; p=0·20). The mean transfer ratio of maternal antibodies was 1·03 (95% CI 0·98-1·08). Although 705 (66%) of 1066 neonates acquired protective concentrations of EV-A71 antibodies from mothers, these declined rapidly, with a half-life of 42 days (95% CI 40-44). The time to loss of protective immunity was extended to 5 months in neonates with mothers who had titres of 128 or higher. By age 30 months, 28% of children had become seropositive because of natural infection. INTERPRETATION: EV-A71 maternal antibodies were efficiently transferred to neonates, but declined quickly to below the protective threshold, particularly among those whose mothers had low antibody titres. Our findings suggest that maternal vaccination could be explored to provide neonatal protection against EV-A71 through maternal antibodies. Catch-up vaccination between ages 6 months to 5 years could provide protection to the approximately 30-90% of children that have not had natural EV-A71 infection by that age. FUNDING: National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars, National Natural Science Foundation of China.

Case fatality risk of novel coronavirus diseases 2019 in China.

OBJECTIVE: The outbreak of novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) imposed a substanal health burden in mainland China and remains a global epidemic threat. Our objectives are to assess the case fatality risk (CFR) among CO VID-19 patients detected in mainland China, stratified by clinical category and age group. METHODS: We collected individual information on laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases from publicly available official sources from December 29, 2019 to February 23, 2020. We explored the risk factors associated with mortality. We used methods accounting for right-censoring and survival analyses to estimatethe CFR among detected cases. RESULTS: Of 12,863 cases reported outside Hubei, we obtained individual records for 9,651 cases, including 62 deaths and 1,449 discharged cases. The deceased were significantly older than discharged cases (median age: 77 vs 39 years, p<0.001). 58% (36/62) were male. Older age (OR 1.18 per year; 95% CI: 1.14 to 1.22), being male (OR 2.02; 95% CI: 1.02 to 4.03), and being treated in less developed economic regions (e.g., West and Northeast vs. East, OR 3.93; 95 %Cl:1.74 to 8.85) were mortality risk factors. The estimated CFR was 0.89-1.24% among all cases. The fatality risk among critical patients was 2-fold higher than that among severe and critical patients, and 24-fold higher than that among moderate, severe and critical patients. CONCLUSIONS: Our estimates of CFR based on laboratory-confirmed cases ascertained outside of Hubei suggest that COVID-19 is not as severe as severe acute respiratory syndrome and Middle East respiratory syndrome, but more similar to the mortality risk of 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic in hospitalized patients. The fatality risk of COVID-19 is higher in males and increases with age. Our study improves the severity assessment of the ongoing epidemic and can inform the COVID-19 outbreak response in China and beyond.

A study of the environmental factors influencing the growth phases of Ulva prolifera in the southern Yellow Sea, China.

Macroalgal blooms of U. prolifera in the southern Yellow Sea (SYS) have become an ecological disaster. In this study, we attempt to explore the influence of environmental factors and human activity on the annual development of U. prolifera during 2011-2016, combining geostationary ocean color imager images and monitored environmental factors. Blooms of U. prolifera were mainly distributed in the central SYS, drifting from the southern Yellow Sea Radial Sand Ridges. Three growth phases were defined (initial phase, outbreak phase and dissipation phase) to facilitate analysis of the relationship between the environmental factors and growth conditions of U. prolifera. Seaweed cultivation, sea surface temperature (SST) and available radiation influenced the algal biomass during the initial phase; the seawater transparency, precipitation and wind activity affected the algae during the outbreak phase; and SST, intense radiation and cleanup operations increased the rate of algal extinction in the dissipation phase.

Evolution of Landscape Ecological Risk at the Optimal Scale: A Case Study of the Open Coastal Wetlands in Jiangsu, China.

Detailed analysis of the evolution characteristics of landscape ecological risk is crucial for coastal sustainable management and for understanding the potential environmental impacts of a man-made landform landscapes (MMLL). As a typical open coastal wetland, large-scale human activities (e.g., tidal reclamation, fishery activities, wind farm construction, and port construction) have substantially affected the evolution of the coastal ecological environment. Previous landscape ecological risk assessment studies have documented the effectiveness of assessing the quality of ecological environment processes. However, these studies have either focused on the noncoastal zone, or they have not considered the evolution of the spatial characteristics and ecological risk evolution of the landscape at an optimal scale. Here, we present a landscape ecological risk pattern (LERP) evolution model, based on two successive steps: first, we constructed an optimal scale method with an appropriate extent and grain using multi⁻temporal Landsat TM/OLI images acquired in the years 2000, 2004, 2008, 2013 and 2017, and then we calculated landscape ecological risk indices. Based on this model, the entire process of the spatiotemporal evolution of ecological risk patterns of the open coastal wetlands in Jiangsu, China, was determined. The principal findings are as follows: (1) The main landscape types in the study area are tidal flats and farmland, and the main features of the landscape evolution are a significant increase in aquafarming and a substantial decrease in the tidal flat area, while the landscape heterogeneity increased; (2) In the past 20 years, the areas of low and relatively low ecological risk in the study region were greatly reduced, while the areas of medium, relatively high, and high ecological risk greatly increased; the areas of high-grade ecological risk areas are mainly around Dongtai and Dafeng; (3) The area of ecological risk from low-grade to high-grade occupied 71.75% of the study area during 2000⁻2017. During the previous periods (2000⁻2004 and 2004⁻2008), the areas of low-grade ecological risk were transformed to areas of middle-grade ecological risk area, while during the later periods (2008⁻2013 and 2013⁻2017) there was a substantial increase in the proportion of areas of high-grade ecological risk. Our results complement the official database of coastal landscape planning, and provide important information for assessing the potential effects of MMLL processes on coastal environments.

Refined use of AISA band-differences for oil slick identification beyond brightness contrast reversal under sunglint.

Marine oil slicks show brighter or darker than surrounding oil-free seawater under different sunglint, which can be observed by satellite optical sensors. Although this has been interpreted using a critical angle concept and simulated using the Cox-Munk model, it has not been demonstrated in high spatial resolution images from airborne sensors. In this study, an AISA (airborne imaging spectrometer for applications) image was used to determine the characteristics of non-emulsion oil slicks under sunglint in high spatial resolution images. Although a similar positive or negative contrast between non-emulsion oil slicks and oil-free seawater can be observed, it is difficult to directly model sunglint reflectance due to the different remote sensing scale effect. There are many sun glitter pepper noise produced by various micro-mirror facets of ocean surface in high spatial resolution images. Based on the optical image characteristics, a normalized noise index (ξ) was designed to evaluate the pepper noise in 1830 band-difference results. Then a level segmentation method was used to delineate the oil slicks under various sunglint from a minimum pepper noise image. Our study provides a preliminary reference for airborne optical remote sensing of oil slicks under various levels of sunglint.

Pain problems for patients with mild and moderate chronic obstructive pulmonary disease - a community-based study in Shanghai.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a great public health burden worldwide. Few studies have focused on pain problems in patients with mild and moderate COPD in Chinese community settings. METHODS: A cross-sectional study of 283 patients with mild and moderate COPD was conducted in six communities that were randomly sampled in Pudong New Area of Shanghai, China, in 2016. A face-to-face interview was conducted to collect data on personal characteristics and health conditions. The short form McGill Pain Questionnaire and the COPD assessment test (CAT) were applied to evaluate pain problems and health status, respectively. RESULTS: Among 283 subjects, more than one third (37%) had pain problems indicated by the present pain intensity (PPI) scale. COPD patients aged <65 years with exacerbation in the past 12 months or a CAT score of ≥10 had a significantly higher score in affective dimension. Female sex, COPD severity, and length of disease were significantly related to higher scores of the sensory dimension. Those with moderate COPD or a CAT score of ≥10 had significantly higher scores of visual analog scale than those with mild COPD or a CAT score <10. Patients with moderate COPD had a higher rank of PPI than those with mild COPD. CONCLUSION: Pain was common in patients with mild and moderate COPD in the community settings of Shanghai, China. Severity of COPD and CAT score were significantly related to the prevalence of pain. Intervention measures should be developed to improve pain problems for COPD patients.